Key takeaways:
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SOL’s 5% ETF-driven rally to $160 was reversed fully inside 24 hours, exposing persistent technical weak spot on the decrease and better time frames.
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SOL trades close to a key $144.5–$147.7 provide cluster. A breakdown beneath $144 might set off a drop to $124 and even $95–$100, the place help thins out.
Solana (SOL) rallied 5% to hit $160 on Monday following news of its first exchange-traded fund (ETF) going stay for buying and selling on Wednesday. Nonetheless, the momentum was short-lived because the altcoin erased all good points inside 24 hours, and value weak spot might be seen on a number of time frames.
Within the decrease timeframe, SOL has failed to keep up a place above the 50-day and 200-day exponential shifting averages (EMAs) for over a month. Regardless of a number of bullish break-of-structure formations, together with final week’s pop above $148, the altcoin has not transformed these into sustainable uptrends.
The $148 stage is presently below strain, and a drop beneath $137 would verify a decrease low, negating the prospect of near-term bullish continuation. For SOL to regain upside momentum, a profitable retest of the $145–$137 demand zone, adopted by restoration above $160, stays pivotal.
On the higher-time body (HTF), the broader pattern stays bearish. In Might, SOL did not breach the important thing resistance at $180 and has since trended downward inside a descending channel.
Whereas such patterns can result in bullish breakouts, SOL has remained extremely delicate to Bitcoin’s weak spot all through the previous month. Whereas Bitcoin (BTC) hovers close to all-time highs, the crypto asset has declined almost 50% since Jan. 19, reflecting relative underperformance.
If the bearish pattern persists, a retest of the each day order block between $120 and $95 stays life like, providing a extra enticing long-term entry level. Nonetheless, a robust each day shut above $160 within the coming weeks might flip sentiment and speed up a bullish reversal, carrying short-term momentum into the upper timeframe.
Related: Analysts raise chance of SOL, XRP and LTC ETF approval to 95%
SOL UTXO realized value alerts key value ranges
SOL trades round $148 on Tuesday, with its UTXO realized value distribution (URPD), a metric monitoring the worth ranges at which tokens have been acquired, providing crucial insights into help and resistance zones. The present value sits inside a provide cluster of 14.3% at $144.5 to $147.7, suggesting robust holder focus. This stage is pivotal, as a variety that would maintain the present value if shopping for strain holds.
Information from Glassnode signifies that sustaining above $144 is essential. A breach beneath this threshold alerts potential weak spot, rising the chance of a retest of decrease help zones.
The $100-$97 vary holds 3% of the availability, whereas $124 helps 1.58%, providing restricted buffers. If value fails to carry above $144, the market dangers a deeper decline towards these ranges, the place thinner provide might amplify volatility.
Resistance emerges at $157, the place 5.55% of provide is concentrated, posing a problem for upward momentum. For now, the dense $144.5-$147.7 cluster underscores a strong base, the place traders ought to defend the SOL value.
Related: SOL price rallies to $161 after ETF news, but is the rally sustainable?
This text doesn’t include funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes threat, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a call.
